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DaviidCY

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2018-12-19

Mock Draft 2020

2020 BL Mock Draft

This mock draft is based on the picks that I would make in each scenario that would best fit each teams current needs or future needs depending on the team, positional depth, and what phase the team is in. Each pick is made with each teams best interest in mind, so if panicking on draft day, I have already made the right choice for you. This mock only goes up to 20 because I don’t want to ruin any potential late first reaches for myself or others picking in this area.

 

  1. Packers

He’s not necessarily my favorite quarterback on the board, but his arm strength fits Jerod’s “throw downfield into triple coverage” play-style better than the other options on the board, while also sporting a good throw under pressure rating. At only 21 years old he has plenty of time to grow into that arm by improving his unremarkable accuracy stats.

The pick: QB, Paul Britt

 

  1. Jets

The Jets would be wise to try to trade back and try to acquire some ammunition to rebuild that awful offensive line, as the 2020 draft class looks like a good one to do it. However, assuming they stay at #2 there is only one option for the Jets. The Jets have some receivers who can catch and they have some receivers who can run, but they don’t have anyone who can do both. Drafting this man will help open up the downfield passing attack for Darnold.

The Pick: WR, Eduardo Adams

 

  1. Colts

`The Colts are suffering from the same problem as the Jets, but on the defensive side. This teams best cornerback is 77 overall with 87 speed. The fastest cornerback on the team is 88 speed. This type of disadvantage cripples the type of defense this team can play, and makes cornerback an absolute need at pick #3. The solution is Steven Lawrence. He 5’10 with a 4.24 40 yard dash and sets up to have great acceleration. Long-term I prefer Ali Riddle for his height, but Lawrence should come out with better coverage skills, which the Colts could use ASAP.

The Pick: CB, Steven Lawrence

 

  1. Raiders

I’m not even really sure what’s going on with the Raiders front 7, as there is just about zero upside to anything on the defensive line (and the linebackers aren’t much better). For that reason they should definitely draft the best defensive lineman available.

The Pick: Marvin Chamberlin

 

  1. Titans

Surprising to see a team with so few glaring weak spots picking this early. In my opinion they should trade back as nobody takes oline this early and the Titans could definitely use some help here. Should they stay at this pick, I still recommend fixing up the offensive line, and will have the first pick of the bunch.

The Pick: LG, Zachary Abraham

 

  1. Seahawks

I’m not sure I understand the logic of telling Russell Wilson to fuck off in order to pickup Jameis Winston, but here we are. The worst part of that being that the rest of the team sucks so I’m you really can’t afford to draft a QB here. With several weak spots on the offensive line, as well as in the front 7, drafting the best player available who can help is the best option. I would draft Derron Shepherd to convert to a defensive end to rush the passer in your 4-3.

The Pick: LOLB, Derron Shepard

 

  1. Eagles

The Eagles are in position to draft the best guy available with a team lacking any holes, outside of left tackle. Because the Eagles possess more first round picks later in the draft, I’d draft the best pick available in CB Ali Riddle, and fill the whole at tackle later. Drafting Riddle may allow for the Eagles to move around the secondary and get 82 speed safety Malcolm Jenkins off the field at times this season into next.

The Pick: CB, Ali Riddle

 

  1. Packers

Jerod fills the last hole of his offensive line.

The Pick: C, Madison Connolly

 

  1. Steelers

This team can claim that Dobbs or Rudolph is “the man” all it wants. They’re both 25 and 72 overall or lower. A quarterback has to be the pick here or we’ll be looking at another top 10 pick for a quarterback next year, but then the rookie will be dealing with a declining Antonio Brown and a potential lack of Le’Veon Bell. This is the year to draft the QB of the future.

The Pick: QB, Harris Willis

 

  1. Raiders

The front 7 still sucks, and so do the available linebackers.

The Pick: Morris Pennel

 

  1. Redskins

After picking up Russell Wilson, QB is no longer a need. Great FA acquisition for the team. Now protect the man, Between LT Scherff (89 overall) and RT Moses (79 overall) we have 68, 64, and 71 overall to fill out the interior.

The Pick: LG, George Archibald

 

  1. Falcons

The Falcons roster is still absolutely stacked, outside of a weaker interior offensive line. At this point the BPA is probably a running back, which the Falcons definitely do not need. I would just fill the hole.

The pick: LG, Marshall Moch

 

  1. Broncos

This is an aging team, but they have begun to reload with young studs like Sutton and Humes joining the offense. They can continue this process by drafting DT’s eventual replacement. By drafting this man they can throw Sutton into the slot and allow DT and this man to dominate the outside.

The pick: WR, Shontrelle Cattouse

 

  1. Giants

There are a lot of holes on this team, and not a players worth picking this early. Trading back is not an awful option if the draft shakes out like this. Based on who is on the board, the Giants have a big hole to fill as free safety. Lyons is being chosen over Wylie solely for the year age difference.

The pick: FS, Martinez Lyons.

 

  1. Eagles

Maybe it’s a slight reach, but the Eagles need a left tackle and have already acquired one of the best players on the board. They shouldn’t risk the chance that offensive lineman have dried up by their next pick.

The pick: LT, Melquan Matthews

 

  1. Giants

The Giants can fill a hole next to Tomlinson and Snacks on the dline by drafting this man and moving him RE to complete the run stuffing dline of this 3-4 defense. With a borderline top 10 run defense this past year, this addition could propel them into the top 10.

The pick: DT, Vladimir Dinkins

 

  1. Patriots

The Patriots have a chance to add a dangerous pass rusher opposite Trey Flowers, while also grabbing one of the best players available.

The pick: RE, Griffin Phelps

 

  1. Packers

With Jerod drafting two running backs in the first round last season because they were the BPA, I’m sure he’ll have no problem doing the same this season and adding a man to a crowded WR room. Though this time there is cause as two of his top three receivers are 30 or older and in line for regression.

The pick: WR, Donshae Wilson

 

  1. Bills

This may be a bit of a dark horse with other needs on the roster (namely oline), but I like Warren Cain (FS) here as a potential replacement for McLeod at SS, or an opportunity to scoot Poyer over to FS. Cain is a 21 year old, 6’4 behemoth as safety. With no lineman worth drafting here, I like the pick.

The pick: FS, Warren Cain

 

  1. Cardinals

After perhaps Duhooty’s most disappointing season ever, he has to get ready to reload. However, there are a number of holes on this roster, namely oline, #1 receiver, and linebacker. He should take the BPA who could help fill a need.

The pick: RG, Marc Jaeger

 

I recognize that despite a plethora of talented running backs being available, I mocked zero in the first 20 picks. Someone will go out of line and pick one somewhere, but surprisingly most teams don’t need one. Those that do need one have pressing needs elsewhere (Colts) or drafted one in the first round last season (Raiders).

 

2018-11-26

State of the Detroit Lions and NFC North Breakdown Going Forward

State of the Detroit Lions address
Matthew Stafford is on pace for a career high passer rating in 2019. Turnovers are still a problem for him with 22 picks thrown, but taking into account the 2.2 yards per carry without Kerryon Johnson in the lineup we’ll give him a pass while he carried the load.
 
After a 2018 season where Stafford threw nearly double the amount of picks as he did touchdowns (25 touchdowns to 46 interceptions), the improvement to 26-22 through 10 games is a massive. His completion percentage remains similar to the disastrous 2018 however at 62%, below his career average. Stafford’s downfield passing efficiency has made him the league leader in passing yards while being just 16th in pass attempts. Cutting down on the turnovers and knowing when to live for another down could help him take the last step to becoming the second most dangerous and efficient passer in football (second to James Morey of the Chargers, who is on pace for nearly 4,000 yards, 48 touchdowns, and just 11 picks - which compared to most others is basically 2 - on 67% completion). Stafford will look to keep the hero ball to a minimum going into a stretch of divisional games that could be the difference between a home playoff game, and sitting on the couch come January.
 
Stafford’s receiving core is definitely making his life easier, Goodwin, Golladay, and Jones Jr. open up deep and intermediate routes, while the Lions catch leader Jared Cook and pass catching back Theo Riddick give Stafford safety blankets who also have play making potential.
 
Marquise Goodwin is currently 2nd in the league in receiving yards and is on pace for nearly 1,500 yards and 14 touchdowns. Marvin Jones is also on pace to surpass 1000 receiving yards, and Golladay may get there too. After a quiet start to the season Golladay (2 catches for 41 yards through the first 3 games), has 557 in the 7 games since. These three make up one of the best receiver corps in the NFL and can be a nightmare for opposing teams to try to corral all three.
 
Coaches hope the run game can drive the team down the stretch. Kerryon Johnson managed 101 rushing yards on 20 carries against the Giants for 5 yards a carry in his return from a week 3 injury, though 75 came on one game defining carry. Outside of that carry he went 19 for 26 yards for a horrendous 1.36 yards per carry. YPC below 2.0 is no stranger to this team as they struggled on the ground tremendoulsy after Johnson went down week 3 against the Packers. A team that relies heavily on the run to open up the deep ball and vice versa cannot expect consistent success when they can’t run against an weak box. Hopefully this game was just an outlier for Johnson who started the season on fire.
 
At 7-3 (3-0 in the division) with three straight divisional games, the next few weeks play a critical role in defining the identity of this lions team. The Bears and Packers are already planning for next season, though that doesn’t mean they won’t pose a threat, though the Vikings are the real story here.
 
Bears Breakdown
The Bears new headcoach is still trying to decide the direction he wants to take his team, and wants revenge for the career day Stafford had against him early this season. Former coach Alex built one of the best defenses in the NFL with a very solid offense. With the season to become more familiar with his team and scheme, while coming up to speed with the league, we can expect the efficient Bears team I encountered early this season to make a bit of noise come 2020. They’re missing their early draft picks, but the mix of established talent and developing players should still lead to an improved Bears team next season, without taking into account possible FA pickups. The mere presence of Cox has a bigger impact right now than any first round pick could.
 
Packers Breakdown
Packers coach Jerod Miles is a man full of spite and likely wants at least one win this season. He’ll bitch and moan a lot, but he can upset just about anyone on a good day. While winless this season (0-9), the team is very talented and will bolster the core with two likely top 10 picks, and four total first round picks come the draft. They have to hope they come into this draft with a better draft strategy after drafting two first round running backs; 16th overall pick Lavon Thomas (404 rushing yards at 3.9 YPC, 2 TD’s. 22 catches for 293 receiving yards, 0 TD’s) whom is an injury prone, talented pass catcher who can also kinda run between the tackles, while 32nd overall pick Keevon Spencer (295 rushing yards at 3.2 YPC for 3 touchdowns. 3 catches for 22 yards, 0 TD’s) has been disapointingly ineffective thus far.
 
Perhaps his two first round backs will look better when they have a capable QB throwing the ball. Through 9 games, DeShone Kizer has thrown the ball 214 times for 1,681 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 24 interceptions. An important note is that one of those touchdowns came in a simulated game against the Broncos. This means that the one touchdown Jerod threw this season came against the Chiefs in week one, so that’s embarrassing for both of you. Gotta think a QB is coming in the draft. Something tells me those two running backs won’t prove to be more effective in scoring points than Rodgers would’ve been (tho he too is struggling greatly in Tampa Bay with 324 attempts, 2,703 yards, 8 touchdowns, 32 interceptions). While Kizer is not great, you’ve gotta think bad coaching is playing a huge factor in his historically bad season.
 
Vikings Breakdown
The Vikings stand at a respectable 5-5 (2-1 in the division), despite losing key starters for chunks during the season. Kyle Sloter and Nathan Peterman took snaps and won games while Big Ben was sidelined. That’s right, Sloter and Peterman won games while Kizer couldn’t complete a single touchdown pass. Still think coaching isn’t the problem in Green Bay?
 
Latavious Murray was also able to make a strong impact while Dalvin Cook was sidelined to start the season.  After surviving the injury riddled start of the season, the Vikings are still very much in play for the NFC north crown with a game against the division leading Lions and games against the struggling Redskins, Bears, Giants, and Packers. The Chiefs (Jerod’s lone touchdown pass) pose a strong threat to them winning out, but after beating the Cowboys I firmly believe that the Vikings can beat everybody if they show up ready to compete.
 
NFC North Playoff Potential
The Bears are all but eliminated from playoff contention and the Packers never really had a chance. The Lions currently stand atop the division at 7-3 and hold the #2 seed in the NFC with the Saints also sitting at 7-3. While not out of the woods yet, I expect the Panthers to run away with the #1 seed in the NFC. The Vikings would be hard pressed to rally into a top two seed from 5-5, and would be content with a division crown or wildcard birth to get into the Playoffs. With head to head games left with only the Lions and Giants out of the NFC wildcard contenders, and losses against the Cardinals and Eagles, it may be division or bust for the Vikings, though a win against the Cowboys could prove big if the wildcard comes down to a tiebreaker. The Lions already have a loss to the Cowboys, and will play the Eagles later in the season. That game could play a large role in the shakeup of the NFC playoffs. The Vikings will need some luck to make up their two game deficit to the Lions, but with a H2H game to go and an easier remaining schedule, anything can happen. I will give one last shoutout to the two NFC North teams not in playoff contention with a fun fact; DeShone Kizer has thrown for the same number of touchdowns as the Bears have wins so far this season.
 
NFC Division Winners Prediction:
East: Cowboys
West: Cardinals
North: Lions
South: Panthers
 
Wildcard: Saints
Wildcard: Eagles
 
 
Concluding thoughts
With 6 games to go it’ll be interesting to see how hard Jerod tanks, and if he throws for another touchdown. Will the Bears, who played me harder than the score indicates, put his foot on the gas down the stretch and show what they’re capable of? Can the Vikings end the season strong and make a run for the first non-Bear BL NFC North winner in years?..or at the very least a wildcard birth? Finally, can the Lions win their first division crown since 1993? Can they make a play for the 2nd seed in the NFC? Or will the “same old lions” curse come back to bite them? After writing an entire article rosterbating and laughing at Jerod I firmly expect for fate to make me miss the playoffs.