2024 NFLGM Draft Grades, A Year Later
1.01 QB Brett Kirkpatrick, Vikings (76/23/N)
Draft Grade: D+
Kirkpatrick had a fine rookie season, but his upside appears capped at the moment. He threw for 3300 yards and 19 scores, but his 17 picks are alarming. He did add an impressive job on the ground with 862 yards rushing and 4 scores. He did have 9 fumbles though. Kirkpatrick looks like a quarterback that you can win with but in a class that appears to have produced numerous franchise QBs, that’s simply not good enough at #1 overall.
1.02 DT Dee Walker, Chiefs (79/22/S)
Draft Grade: B
Walker was wildly considered one of the most polished DL prospects in this class. After a solid rookie year that remains the case. 14 TFLs is impressive for an interior rookie defensive lineman. You’d like to see more impact on the sack front but 6.5 as a rookie definitely shows a lot of promise.
1.03 DE J.P. Schmitt, Seahawks (78/23/S)
Draft Grade: C
J.P. Schmitt had a season that you’d generally be very happy with. 20 tackles and 7 sacks are a fine day at the office but given the high-end DL production found later in this class, its hard to be thrilled if you’re a Seahawks fan.
1.04 CB Justin Copeland, Chiefs (73/22/S)
Draft Grade: B+
Many expects questioned this pick when the Chiefs made it but fast forward a season and Copeland looks to be the best secondary piece in the class. His production was outstanding, he led rookies with 4 interceptions and actually led the NFL with 4 defensive touchdowns. Copeland was rather boom or bust though with only 4 deflections on the season. Copeland is a nice player with solid production but with great talent still on the board a B+ is the best they can receive.
1.05 MLB Tavarres McDaniels, Cardinals (86/22/SS)
Draft Grade: A+
Tavarres McDaniels was expected to have some growing pains as a rookie but those were few and far between. 180 total tackles, 14 TFLs, 5.5 sacks, 3 forced turnovers, and a touchdown in his rookie campaign. There isn’t much that Tavarres can’t do. He looks to have the highest upside of any linebacker in this class.
1.06 QB Courtland McCollum, Browns (84/24/SS)
Draft Grade: A-
McCollum struggled with picks in his rookie season but otherwise put up amazing numbers. Over 4400 yards passing, 75% completion percentage, and 23 touchdowns. McCollum is your traditional, big armed pocket passer so he adds nothing on the ground. McCollum looks to be a true franchise quarterback.
1.07 DE Zach Williams, Panthers (87/23/S)
Draft Grade: B+
Zach Williams was considered one of the most polished players in the 2024 class. He had 8 sacks and 7 TFLs in his rookie campaign. That’s a fine showing but with better statistical EDGEs later in this draft, a B+ is the best we can do for Williams.
1.08 DT Arthur Thomas, 49ers (80/22/S)
Draft Grade: B+
Thomas, like Williams, was widely considered one of the best defensive line prospects in the class. The 49ers were happy with his production in his rookie season. He finished with 72 total tackles, 8.5 sacks, and 8 TFLs. His grade would be much better, but Bobby Bowman would be drafted a full round later and put up easily better stats.
1.09 WR Tyrus Coffee, Chiefs (76/22/N)
Draft Grade: D+
When Coffee entered this draft class, he was considered the best WR in the class. After a rookie campaign of 509 yards and 2 scores he left much to be desired. The WR core in KC is elite but that’s no excuse for Coffee. A measly 8.8 average per reception is terrible and Coffee’s upside seems capped.
1.10 C Brian Rhodes, Steelers (74/22/S)
Draft Grade: B
Rhodes had a very solid rookie season by allowing only 2 sacks. While he was great in the pass game, the rushing game lacked some. Rhodes is a fine offseason lineman but has limitations. He’s still only 22 but his upside is capped. A top 10 center is fine but with high end players still on the board, one game simply asks for more.
1.11 C Sterling Vogel, Cardinals (82/24/N)
Draft Grade: B+
Vogel had a fine rookie season. He allowed 3 sacks and led a very good Cardinals rushing attack. Unfortunately, Vogel’s selection takes a slight hit due to his age. He like is the most polished OL in this group but due to the limited long-term upside it is hard to get too excited.
1.12 DE Gerald Best, Rams (83/23/S)
Draft Grade: C-
The Rams front office seems to have no awareness of the talent on their roster. Best joined a loaded front 4 group and it showed. 18 total tackles, 8 sacks, 2 TFLs for Best. That’s simply not good enough with numerous elite EDGEs on the board.
1.13 DE Dwayne Bennett (83/23/SS)
Draft Grade: A+
Bennett was mocked by many experts in the top 10 but fell down the board to the Patriots due to the depth at EDGE in this loaded class. Bennett proved to be one of the best rookie pass rushers ever with 18.5 sacks. If he can add something in the form of turnovers, there is no reason that he can’t be a perennial All-Pro on a loaded Patriots pass rush.
1.14 DE Kai James, Cowboys (84/24/S)
Draft Grade: D
Kai James, like Gerald Best, simply went to a bad situation. He joined a loaded defensive line group and struggled to get anything going. 30 total tackles, 2.5 sacks, and 4 TFLs is simply not good enough. The upside remains but right now the Cowboys have to regret their decision at this selection.
1.15 CB Cordale Heyward, Colts (82/23/S)
Draft Grade: B+
Heyward had a very productive rookie season. While he might not have had as many picks as fellow rookie Justin Copeland, Heyward appeared to play tighter coverage. He had 13 deflections and added a pair of picks. Heyward might never be a true shutdown corner, but he will most certainly be an above average starter.
1.16 RT Teddy Peerman, Buccaneers (80/22/S)
Peerman was a very high upside selection by the Bucs. They needed OL and he was the best available. He has the makings of a high end OL but must develop more first. He allowed 4 sacks in 12 games which is pretty good for his position. They will look for more consistency going forward.
1.17 MLB Mike Meredith, Football Team (72/22/N)
There aren’t many worse picks than the Football Team selecting Mike Meredith. He had 6 tackles, 1 sack, and 1 FF as a rookie. That’s decent production from a sixth rounder but not a top 17 player in a class. They will regret this for years to come.
1.18 RB Damion Bigsby, Rams (79/23/S)
Draft Grade: F
The Bigsby selection drew great criticism when the Rams made it. A year later, it doesn’t look any better. Bigsby looked average at best when he started, and he barely did that despite the Rams being out of contention majority of the season. This pick was back then and always will be. It is a good thing he was an elite college player because it’s all downhill from there.
1.19 QB Scott Barwin, Chiefs (80/23/SS)
Draft Grade: A+
Scott Barwin put up one of the greatest rookie seasons of all-time. He threw for nearly 4,400 yards, 30 touchdowns, and completed 76% of his passes. Did I mention that he also ran for 678 yards? The downfall was that Barwin had 27 turnovers. Expect that to change this season.
1.20 TE Carson Lucas, Panthers (76/24/S)
Draft Grade: B-
Lucas had one of the finest seasons we have seen from a TE in a while. He finished with 959 yards receiving and added a touchdown. While that is true, Lucas is already 24 and has limited upside. He has already shown that while he is a great target between in 20s, he struggles in the redzone.
1.21 QB Manu Ventura, Seahawks (83/24/S)
Draft Grade: D+
The Seahawks were thrilled to select Manu here. They loved his upside and athleticism. After a 37 turnover campaign the front office has seemingly questioned everything about him. He only threw for 3,458 yards and rushed for just over 600 yards. That’s simply not good enough in this league.
1.22 C Brody Peterson, Titans (78/24/N)
Draft Grade: B-
The Titans were desperate for offensive line and snagged Peterson. Peterson will be an average center in this league but given his age and upside, there is only so much to expect. He allowed 4 sacks as a rookie which is fine production. Titans fans simply must understand that they made a safe pick here.
1.23 TE Robert Nixon, Rams (80/24/S)
Draft Grade: D
The Rams had 3 first round picks and used all 3 of them on second stringers at the position. Nixon had 339 yards and a score in his rookie season. This grade is less about Nixon and more about the atrocious job the Rams front office did in the 2024 NFLGM Draft.
1.24 DE Jayson Farrell, Cardinals (82/23/SS)
Draft Grade: A+
Farrell put up one of the best rookie seasons for a pass rusher with 18.5 sacks. While that ties him for the NFL Rookie Record for sacks in a season, Farrell’s 6.5 sack game is easily an NFL Rookie best. If we redrafted today, Farrell likely goes in the 5-10 range. Slam dunk of a pick!
1.25 DT JaMichael Morgan, Panthers (75/23/S)
Draft Grade: D+
The Panthers selected Morgan and instantly traded their starting DT in Henning. They had big things in mind. Sadly, after a 9 TFL and 4 sack season its time to temper expectations. Morgan will be a fine starter, but he wont even develop into the player they drafted him to replace.
1.26 RB William Singleton, Broncos (78/23/S)
Draft Grade: C+
The Broncos grabbed a fine back in Singleton, but he struggled making a huge impact. They primarily used him on third downs which led to 532 receiving yards. He added 527 rushing yards as well. That’s solid production but not the production they had in mind.
1.27 DT Jonathon Markham, Cowboys (74/23/N)
Draft Grade: F
This pick was terrible at the time and now its somehow even worse! Guess how many snaps Markham played last season? 7. That’s all I have to say.
1.28 WR Brendan Patterson, Chargers (81/22/S)
Draft Grade: A
Brendan Patterson had a very good rookie season. He proved to be one of the best WRs in this class. 689 yards and 3 scores as a secondary option on this offense. Expect Patterson to blossom into a terrific young WR.
1.29 DE Byron Gandy, Bengals (85/22/SS) A+
Gandy was likely the best player on the board when the Bengals came up. Despite a loaded front 7, the Bengals went BPA and snagged Gandy. Gandy would post an 11-sack rookie season and shows big upside as he gains a larger role.
1.30 FS George Branch, Panthers (74/23/S)
Draft Grade: D+
Branch had a fine rookie season. He was voted to the All-Rookie team but that’s not saying much in a poor safety class. Branch lacks athleticism and that will continue to plague him throughout his career. He only forced 1 turnover and 3 deflections. 5 TFLs show he wasn’t even good in the run game.
1.31 QB Anthony Drew, Ravens (74/23/N)
Draft Grade: F
You know what most Super Bowl runners-up need in the first round? A backup quarterback. Mike has been spending too much time hanging out with the front office in Green Bay. One can only wonder what could’ve been if they didn’t waste this pick.
1.32 CB Rick Conley, Saints (81/24/SS)
Draft Grade: C+
Rick Conley has all the talent in the world. His upside is easily best in this class. After one season he has been traded to the Packers already. 1 pick and 10 deflections didn’t please the front office but given the upside lets wait to grade Conley too harshly.
Cody’s 2024 QB Rankings
Sam Darnold has been a different animal since arriving in Dallas. He has been surrounded by a great offensive unit and it has paid off. In past years one thing kept Darnold from rising even higher on the list, turnovers. In 2023 Darnold threw 11 interceptions, easily the fewest in his career. He’s already a Super Bowl Champion and should be considered among the MVP favorites each season.
Wow, what a difference a year makes! Baker set the league on fire in 2021 but stepped back in 2022. Baker must’ve read this blog because he did exactly what the doctor ordered in 2023. Realistically, he should be higher on this list but because his interceptions were cut so drastically, I would like to see one more season before I rank him higher. After seeing the difference that Stefon Diggs made for Baker I am starting to think that Diggs, not Baker, is the most valuable player on this team.
What year is it? Is this 2015? Carson Wentz, where has this been man! Wentz has consistently appeared from 15-19 in our annual QB rankings. The acquisition of Michael “Slant Boy” Thomas and Will “PED” Fuller seemingly transformed Wentz back into an MVP caliber QB, something we haven’t seen since his first few years in the league. Wentz’s 35 touchdowns easily lead the league and he will look to continue to build on that in 2024.
Patrick Mahomes had his best statistical season since his sophomore season. 4,551 yards, 32 touchdowns, 109.3 QBR. That isn’t even the best part for Dolphins fans. Mahomes completed 83% of passes with 9.3 YPA and a 122.5 QBR after the trade. He threw an absurd 22 touchdowns on only 255 attempts in Miami. That’s easily a 45-50 touchdown pace over 16 games. When was the last time we saw something like this? Oh, 2018? Patrick Mahomes? Yup, he is finally back ladies and gents. Expect Mahomes to be first on this list in 2025, he is sensational.
Joe Burrow took a strong leap forward in 2023, having the best season of his career. Passing wise Burrow had a similar statistical season but his completion percentage was through the roof at 82%. Burrow once again cut his interception totals. He had 8 in 2023. Burrow’s Bengals should be considered among Super Bowl favorites in 2024. If Burrow can have success in the playoffs he should only go higher.
Jordan Love slides down the rankings a tad after his third season as a starter. Love’s 2023 season simply was a step below his 2022 season. Yardage was down, so was completion percentage. QBR was too but surprisingly his touchdowns went up to 28. Love still has some solid pieces around his and will look to reward the Packers for handing him a long-term extension.
Trey Lance is a great QB to have if you are leading. He limits turnovers and can easily use his legs. The main concern is still his arm. He only threw for 3100 yards and 16 touchdowns in 2023 but he is a Super Bowl Champion now. He due an extension next season and will need to impress the Saints front office as they look to manage their cap going forward.
Deshaun Watson is coming off his worst season in New England. Watson is likely much higher on this list than he should be. Watson is a two-time 1st Team All Pro and the hope is that he can return to his prior self. Keenan Allen and Deonte Harris should help do that. Watson must cut down on his alarming interception rates in 2024 for the Patriots to have success.
Wilson, like Watson, is in this spot due to the last few seasons. While his yardage was up, interceptions doubled to 16. Touchdowns and completion percentages were down as well. Wilson is no longer in Seattle and has a toy like never before in Henry Ruggs. Expect Ruggs and Wilson to set the league on fire in 2024.
Purdy’s completion percentage was 68% in 2021, 74% in 2022, and 78% in 2023. Purdy has the makings of a superstar. Unfortunately, Purdy will not have an elite WR in 2024. DeAndre Hopkins walked in 2023 and A-Rob walked this season. Purdy cut his picks down by 3 this season as well. 2024 will be very telling for Purdy, the division is seemingly anyone’s game and he is due an extension.
Pode, Pode, Pode…. This is why Pode Mode is a thing. This is the definition of Pode Mode. Let’s hope that he finds a trade partner so Dak’s career isn’t continually wasted in an incompetent organization like New York.
Justin Fields is good, like really good. Unfortunately, he his interception numbers jumped to 18 in 2023 but his touchdown numbers continue to be consistent. He threw for nearly 4,600 yards and led the Broncos on a long playoff run. Expect the Broncos and Justin Fields to improve on that next season.
Hurts led the Rams to the playoffs again in 2023 but his numbers suffered. His rushing and passing yardage were similar to his great 2022 season but his touchdowns dropped by 40%. Hurts is an above average QB, especially with his feet but he will likely never put up high end passing numbers again.
Brian Sharp is really good. He should likely be top 10 once again but the jump interceptions from 9 to 17 drops his on the list slightly. 4,507 yards and 29 touchdowns once again. Sharp has the making of being a high-end franchise quarterback. Expect the Washington Football Team to return to their dominant ways in 2024.
Bret Fjord was the #1 pick in the 2023 NFLGM Draft. Fjord showed that he struggled to adjust to NFL Defenses by fumbles like it was his job. All in all, Fjord was a solid passer with 3,500 yards, very good for a scrambler. He did limit his interceptions. It will be interesting to see how he progresses in his sophomore season.
The goat himself. Giles is arguably the second-best passer that runs consistently, behind Burrow. A 78.3% completion percentage is impressive out of anyone, especially an athlete like Giles. He ran for 833 yards but struggled with sacks and fumbles. I’m told he will be wearing some new gloves in 2024 in order to cut down on his fumbles. Expect that to help Giles soar up the rankings next season.
Wow, Jamie Newman. Who would’ve guessed! This man was the definition of trash in 2022 and suddenly he is in the Super Bowl in 2023. I think it is more about the defense and JK Dobbins but none the less, Newman deserves some respect. He will never put up big passing numbers but if he can limit the turnovers, the Ravens will always have a good shot at winning.
He’s backkkkkk! Finally! The Chargers have missed this form of Justin Herbert for multiple seasons, since he got hurt as a rookie. He set career highs in touchdowns, yardage, and completion percentage. Herbert also led the Chargers to their best season in recent memory. If Herbert can prove this is the new norm he will push further up the rankings.
Pat Knapp is looking like a competent NFL QB. His stats were rather consistent with his rookie campaign although his touchdowns went up and interceptions dropped. Knapp likely isn’t to ever be a Pro Bowler or All Pro but he might be able to put together a Joe Flacco like career.
Lamar finally started to show what he was capable of again. Jackson threw for a career best 4,536 yards and 30 touchdowns. Lamar continues to struggle with completion percentage and interceptions. If he can find consistency, he should be able to become an elite QB again.
Trevor Lawrence continues to be okay. The Lions may have had success in 2023 but it wasn’t Trevor’s doing. The Lions have to pay Trevor soon and that should scare Lions fans. Sure, Trevor ran for 809 yards but paying a QB 30-35m a season to only pass for 3,638 yards is reason to be concerned.
Next season Murray will be back in the top 10, I promise. Three years ago, Kyler was bad…. Then he was great… and last season he was below average again. Murray’s 4100 passing yards with 500 rushing yards is impressive. 30 total touchdowns are great. 20 interceptions are not great.
Tua looked like a changed man in Atlanta. After being acquire midseason, Tua put up the best season of his career. His completion percentage was 74% in ATL, TDs were up to 23, and QBR was up to 94.8, each easily career highs. Interceptions continue to plague Tua, but it appears the scenery change paid off.
A year after making great strides in Pittsburgh, Hawkins regressed in 2023. His turnovers nearly doubled with 22 interceptions. His 6.8 YPA is very alarming. If there is one plus for Haskins, his completion percentage was a career high.
Another year, another Bills QB. I hate to break it to Sean, but Woodard was the 6th best QB on an AFC East team last season. He only threw for 3,695 yards. Woodard ain’t it. We can only wonder how much longer it will be before the Bills invest another high pick in a linebacker and draft another mid round QB.
Hey, Don Truman just took another sack! 80 sacks in 2023 is an insane pace, one can only wonder how many more hits Truman can take. He only threw 16 touchdowns in 2023 and simply couldn’t form a real connection with Ja’Marr Chase. Jacksonville committed a very early pick on Truman, right now he looks to have the makings of a bust.
Minshew may have a great stash and wonderful style but he is holding this Bears squad back. They went 7-9 in 2023 despite having a solid defense and historic running back. The Bears need to move on from Minshew. He, like the next member of this list, is holding his squad back.
After sitting on the bench during his rookie season, Osborne got the start in his sophomore campaign. He did lead the Titans to the playoffs last season, but his turnovers leave something to be desired. Osborne is fine but will always limit the upside of this Titans squad.
2.25:1 INT:TD Ratio, Lock is done. He is exactly who we’ve always thought he was, Jameis Winston.
Sorry Kevin, Josh Rosen sucks, like everyone else this late on the list. Somehow, he made Henry Ruggs into a monster, but I believe that’s simply the greatness of Ruggs.
Baker won’t start in Cleveland ever again. Or will he? Maybe Tyler will put Copeland on the practice squad next preseason and name Baker the start again.
24 interceptions, 65.2% completion percentage, 71 QBR. That’s all you need to know about Aries Cohen. He couldn’t even put up good yardage, only 3,438 yards and 11 touchdowns. He should never play a snap ever again.
Halfway through the season many thought Aries Cohen was the worst QB in the league. Luckily for Cohen, Huntley showed his face again.
Cody’s 2022 End of Season QB Rankings
Watson had another amazing season en route to a 15-1 record. He threw 2 picks in 16 streams (4 thanks to EA’s crappy servers dropping a game). Unfortunately, Watson had a rough couple throws in the Super Bowl but that simply wasn’t enough to drop him from the first spot.
Russell is once again a Super Bowl Champion. He, like Watson, is simply a difference maker week in, week out. While his yardage dropped, his touchdowns increased to 32. Wilson might be getting older but his spot on this list is cemented.
Last year many were surprised with Love’s ranking, but he proved he belongs in 2022. Love had a great offensive line and cast of weaponry. Julio retired and they traded an elite lineman, but Jordan is good enough for survive all of that.
The Jets decided to do a mini rebuild midseason but that didn’t stop Dak from having the best season of his career. For some reason the franchise decided to trade up in the draft to select a QB. It will be interesting to see what happens here. A fresh, expensive contract hinders his value but a team like the Texans could benefit greatly from a move.
Patrick cleaned up his turnovers a bit and lead the Chiefs to the playoffs, despite a tear-down in the preseason. The unfortunate thing is that Mahomes is on his 3rd coaching staff in the last 4 months. I expect Fenwick to build a solid team around Mahomes and return them to dominance.
Sam had the best season of his career in 2022, throwing for 5,000 yards and 29 scores. He even cut down on his picks which was huge! The Cowboys couldn’t replicate their dominance in 2022 but Darnold wasn’t at fault. It will be interesting to see how he performs without CeeDee Lamb.
Kyler returned to form in 2022 after a down 2021 NFLGM season. He ran and passed all over the field. He threw for 4300 yards but only 20 touchdowns. The Cardinals are going all in for 2023 by investing in their offensive line and pass rush. This would be Kyler’s best year yet!
Wow! Where did this come from? No player had a bigger jump in 2022 than Hurts. He went from below average to very good. Hurts simply did it all. He only threw 3607 yards but added 27 touchdowns and limited his interceptions (10).
12 months ago, many executives thought that the Football Team reached on a QB after the Lamar Jackson trade fell through. In the end Brian Sharp was amazing and looks to be a franchise QB. He threw for 4,900 yards, a rookie record! He added 30 touchdowns, also a rookie record! Sharp is special!
The 49ers took a step back in 2022 after the abrupt retirement of their General Manager, Chris. The new regime showed improvement over the season but now Logan is here and ready to lead them to victory. Purdy is the 4th best QB in his division but likely has the most potential. A career high 4,757 yards passing with 28 scores are great numbers, but the lack of wins and 14 interceptions hurts his ranking this season.
Joe Burrow is the first of 3 former Buckeye Quarterbacks to appear on this list. Joe made huge strides as a runner during the 2022 campaign, but an odd scheme changes midseason brought that to a halt. Burrow was cut down on his turnovers. His completion percentage went from 68% to 73.6% and he led a #2 seed Bengals team into the playoffs.
Cam burst back onto the scene in 2022 after a lackluster year in Jacksonville in 2021. Cam knocked off his former Patriots team in week one, but the team struggled there on. Cam completed 75% of his passes and threw 19 touchdowns to 4 picks. The Vikings struggled but Cam wasn’t the reason. He only threw 3100 yards in the campaign but there was enough success to lead me to believe he still has the potential to be above average.
Oh, the difference a year makes! Or as Kevin say, oh the difference an archetype makes! Baker simply regressed back into who we all thought he was, a middle of the pack quarterback who forces too many throws. Baker may have thrown for 4100 yards, but his 12 interceptions hurt. Did I mention that he took 63 sacks? I’m sorry Kevin but Baker is simply…... average.
Trey Lance is in the same conversation as Jalen Hurts as the most dynamic rusher at QB. He threw for 3600 yards and 24 scores and added nearly 1,000 on the ground plus another 5 scores. Trey Lance was very productive but did have 21 turnovers in 2022. Lance gets a slight bump here given his expected weaponry for 2023.
Carson Wentz is nice; you can do much worse than Carson Wentz but he’s nothing special. Wentz threw for just under 4,500 in 2022 and added 26 touchdowns. I believe Wentz could be in for the best season of his career. Yes, I know what he did when he first entered the league but let’s not forget that he has never played with a wideout of Michael Thomas’s caliber. Wentz is going to shine in 2023 and MT will be a big reason why.
Drew Lock had a special passing season in 2022, unfortunately it didn’t translate to wins. The Colts missed the playoffs despite nearly 5,400 yards passing. Lock took 77 sacks and killed other drives with 14 interceptions. Drew Lock can stuff the stat sheet, but can he win? He will get another chance in Houston.
Dwayne Haskins came over in an offseason trade with Washington and led a very solid Steelers team to the playoffs. Haskins finished 6th in the league with 4,561 yards but only threw 22 touchdowns. Haskins did clean up his turnovers by cutting his picks down to 12. The downside for 2023 is that he lost one of his top weapons in Tyler Lockett.
Lawrence and Burrow have lots of similarities. They both went first overall in their respective classes and both had bizarre decision making by their offensive coordinators this season. Lawrence was cooking on the ground early in his career before they suddenly stopped using him in that manner. Lawrence has formed a special connection with Jaylen Waddle. Trevor threw for 4,385 yards and 26 scores in 2022 but did have 17 turnovers. Lawrence could be higher on this list but given his lack of success in the win column I simply can’t.
Fields went through a midseason coaching change which seemingly affected his numbers. His yardage dropped by 250 yards, but he did clean up his turnovers. Fields has one of the best weapon groups in the league and should be able to make a huge leap in 2023.
Ricky Giles was a surprise second round pick in 2020 but he has shown great potential in two seasons. In 2022 he had his Giants in a great position before he suffered a broken hand in practice around week 10. Giles decided he would play through the injury but sadly it affected his handle on sacks and led to many fumbles. He had nearly 40 turnovers in 2022. Without those he liked is top 10 on this list. His completion percentage is elite. He threw for 4,000 yards and rushed for another 800. There is nothing this man can’t do, except hold onto the football. He does struggle with that!
Tom Brady as a backup? That’s something I never thought I would see but at age 46 that time has finally come. Tom seemed to take a step forward in 2022 as his numbers across the board seemed to improve. 4,277 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. That’s not bad for a guy that is closer to social security than he is to college. 23 years in the league, it’s time to give it up Tom.
Matt threw for 4,386 yards in 2022 and added 25 scores. Sadly, his tenure in Atlanta ended anyways. The Falcons did seem to simplify the offense some as Ryan averaged nearly 1 ypa less than 2021. Ryan goes to a Titans squad where he will compete for the starting gig.
Knapp was better than anyone could’ve expected as a rookie. He completed 74% of his passes while throwing for nearly 3,600 yards and 21 scores. He led the Bucs back to the playoffs before they faltered. Knapp can also make things happen with his feet. Expect him to make even more strides in season two.
While his own coach doesn’t believe in him, I do. Mond came over midseason and quickly took over the starting job. Mond threw for nearly 2,500 yards with a 13:5 TD:INT ratio. I’ll take that any day! Sadly, it appears as if the front office has already lost faith in Mond and has drafted numerous replacements.
Carr had one of his better seasons in recent memory in 2022. He threw for 3,800 yards, 23 touchdowns, and only 13 interceptions. One struggle for Carr was his completion percentage at only 64%. The time has come for Carr to be an above average backup.
The Bears flirted with Clay Griffin for half of the season due to a Minshew injury but decided to turn back to the veteran later in the season. Minshew was decent with 2,200 yards and a 9:5 TD:INT ratio. His ceiling is limited but he has never played with a weapon like Thurman Wyrick.
Herbert made some strides in 2022. He limited his turnovers with 11 picks and added 700 yards passing more than ever before. The downside for Herbert continues to be touchdowns. In 2021 he threw 12 scores and he only had 16 in 2022. The Chargers need to invest in Justin so they can give him a fair shake before they need to give him a massive contract that they will likely regret.
Yikes. Tua continues to struggle. He regressed in 2022. He threw for 3,952 yard and 17 scores but had 19 picks. He did only take 55 sacks, which is an improvement of 11 over 2021. This year will decide it all, Tua needs paid but does he deserve it? Currently, no, he doesn’t. Tua is the only thing holding back this Miami squad. They have put the pieces in place yet Tua continues to underperform. This is a put up or shut up campaign.
I find it unfair to rank Newman so low but given his injury history and small sample size I can’t rank him any higher. Newman showed promise as a rookie and early in his sophomore season, but it was cut short to injury. He only threw for 1,127 yards and 4 scores. He did have 5 picks, but he completed 76% of his passes. Newman has potential but can he stay healthy?
Thank goodness! NFLGM Fans rejoice that Lamar is starting again. Lamar did start a few games in 2022 due to injury but was lackluster. One can only hope that it was a scheme issue because Jackson has talent. Jackson better be the biggest riser on this list next season, or the Colts gave up way too much for him!
Tannehill, like Carr, has simply seen time catch up with him. He regressed hard in 2022. While he had a positive TD:INT ratio, he didn’t do much else. He held the Titans team back.
Ridder showed promise as a rookie but took a step back in 2022. He threw for 3,164 yards and 17 scores. He only threw 11 picks but did have 19 fumbles. Nearly 2 turnovers per game simply isn’t acceptable. Ridder finds himself on the bench to begin 2023 as a result.
Cody’s 2021 End of Season QB Rankings
Matt Miller’s Way Too Early 2021 NFLGM Mock Draft
1.01 Washington Football Team QB, RB, OL
QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson
After another disappointing season for the Washington Football Team, it is likely time to move on from Dwayne Haskins. Lawrence is likely the best quarterback prospect out of college since Andrew Luck. At 6’6 220 pound, Lawrence possess everything you want in a modern era signal caller. He will look to improve off an impressive high school and college resume and finally bring hope back to the nation’s capital.
1.02 Minnesota Vikings DE, LB, OL, QB
QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State
The Vikings find themselves on the clock earlier in the draft than they would’ve hoped. Any time a team with Super Bowl aspirations picks second its disappointing. The good news is that they will get to fill their coffers with a high-end prospect. Few players have more unknown and uncertainty than Trey Lance, but many believe he draws Michael Vick comps. The former Bison threw for 28 touchdowns to zero interceptions as a redshirt freshman while adding 1,100 yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground. While he may be a little rawer than someone like Justin Fields, the upside is there, and the Vikings must be willing to take a shot on that.
1.03 Jacksonville Jaguars OT, QB, TE
LT Penei Sewell, Oregon
The Jacksonville Jaguars pick early once again and are tasked with a difficult decision, do they get a franchise left tackle or do they grab their quarterback of the future? The Jaguars are in full blown rebuild and must take the best player available in my opinion. That best player is easily Penei Sewell. Sewell is a big boy at 6’6, 330 pounds but he doesn’t move like he’s that big. Many experts compare him to Jason Peters, a perennial Pro Bowler. The Jags should take the sure thing here, a transcending prospect in Penei Sewell.
1.04 Carolina Panthers QB, OLB, OL
QB Justin Fields, Ohio State
The Teddy Bridgewater experiment needs to come to an end. Sure, the Panthers are somewhat rebuilding but when a great quarterback prospect is available, you jump. Justin Fields is the answer in Carolina. Fields set the world on fire in his first year in Columbus accounting for 51 total touchdowns. Fields possess enough arm talent to make all the throws required. For the last five years Trevor Lawrence have been neck and neck in their class and it is no different here. Fields is a safer pick than Trey Lance, but the Panthers will happily select Fields to be their field general.
1.05 Las Vegas Raiders QB, LT, OLB
LT Samuel Cosmi, Texas
The Raiders pick in the top 5 after another disappointing season with needs throughout their roster. Cosmi is an elite pass blocker but is a little slower developing on the run blocking front. Cosmi probably is a mid-first round talent but the Raiders always love to reach and that’s exactly what they do here. The Raiders would love a quarterback but with Lawrence, Lance, and Fields off the board it would be too big of a reach at this point in the draft.
1.06 Chicago Bears QB, OL, LB
LB Micah Parsons, Penn State
Parsons is a true do it all linebacker. Built at 6’3 244 pounds, he can rush the passer a bit, shut down the run game, and is a good enough athlete to cover tight ends and running backs in space. Parsons paired with Roquan Smith will make a dynamic duo for the next decade.
1.07 Los Angeles Chargers OL, MLB, FS
OT Alex Leatherwood, Alabama
The Chargers grabbed Justin Herbert in the 2020 class, following a disappointing 6-10 season some fans are ready to move on. Unfortunately, with Lawrence, Fields, and Lance off the board that isn’t an option this high in the draft. The Chargers should show faith in their sophomore signal caller and get him some help. The Chargers desperately need help on the offensive line. With needs at numerous spots, there are few options better than Alex Leatherwood. Alex showed that he had the potential to become an elite tackle during his time in the SEC. While its not sexy, Chargers fans, and especially Justin Herbert, should rejoice at this selection.
1.08 Miami Dolphins OT, DL, RB, WR
WR Ja’Marr Chase, Louisiana State University
The Dolphins enter the 2021 NFLGM Draft with talent scatter throughout the roster, unfortunately following another losing season there is still room for improvement. Chase will likely be the best wide receiver prospect to come out in the last ten years. Chase draws comparisons to Julio Jones despite only being 6’1, 208 pounds. The Dolphins can finally give Tua a true #1 receiver to dominate the AFC East with.
1.09 New York Jets RT, OLB, WR
CB Shaun Wade, Ohio State
The Jets unfortunately find themselves picking in the top 10 after a down season. Pode Mode and company must look to right the ship. Each divisional game they square off again Stefon Diggs, K’Neal Harry, and now Ja’Marr Chase. With that said the Jets must get a true number one corner. In a deep cornerback class, Shaun Wade is the man for the job. Wade would’ve been a first-round pick last season but decided to return to school. After the Big Ten season was cancelled Wade’s father, Randy, lead the “Let us play!” campaign outside the Big Ten league office. The protest was heard, the Big Ten fired Kevin Warren and got the football season back on track. Wade balled out and showed that he wasn’t simply another part of an elite Buckeyes secondary but that he was the Buckeye’s secondary. The Jets get a shutdown corner to help for the next decade.
1.10 Arizona Cardinals IOL, OLB, DE
OG Trey Smith, Tennessee
It is rare for interior offensive lineman to be picked in the top ten but once or twice per decade it will happen. The last one to go top ten was Quentin Nelson and we all know how good he became. Trey Smith is one of the few players in the NCAA to be able to hold his own against Javon Kinlaw. Smith possess elite foot work and is a true brick wall at the point of attack. Due to his athleticism he could easily move outside to play tackle in a pinch.
1.11 Detroit Lions OL, DT, OLB
LB Dylan Moses, Alabama
The Detroit Lions took strides in 2020 but still found themselves out of the playoffs. They have numerous needs including offensive line, defensive tackle, and linebacker. Dylan Moses was thought of as a surefire first round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft but after a torn ACL he missed the entire 2019 season. Moses decided to return to Alabama and show that he was completely healed from the surgery. Moses, like Parsons, has everything you want in a modern-day linebacker. He naturally ranges from sideline to sideline and has elite level instincts to stuff the runner.
1.12 Tennessee Titans DT, RT, EDGE
EDGE Gregory Rousseau, Miami (FL)
The Titans fell back to earth after a great run in 2019. The main spot in which the Titans defense struggled was pressure. There are few pass rushers better than Rousseau in the NCAA. As a sophomore, Rousseau finished a great season with 15.5 sacks and 19.5 tackles for loss. While the Titans could use an offensive tackle or defensive tackle, the draft slide for Rousseau must end. Titans fans should be thrilled to grab a great pass rush prospect in the middle of the first.
1.13 Philadelphia Eagles LB, LT, SS
CB Patrick Surtain II, Alabama
The Eagles have numerous needs following a 7-9 season. They need help at linebacker, left tackle, and safety but in a division with the wide receiver options that Dallas possess, the Eagles go cornerback here. Surtain is an elite corner, some have him ranked higher than Wade, who can do it all. Many compare him to fellow former Crimson Tide cornerback Marlon Humphrey. He has great size, length, quickness, and physicality in coverage. The Eagles get a potential shutdown corner and will be thankful for taking the best player on their board.
1.14 Cincinnati Bengals OT, OLB, TE
OT Walker Little, Stanford
The Cincinnati Bengals invested their future into Joe Burrow in the 2020 NFL Draft. Following an encouraging 2020 season, the 7-9 Bengals should look to further invest into their young signal caller. Walker Little is the man for the job. Little struggled with injuries during the 2019 season which always add for concern, but he has some great features that you look for in an offensive tackle. Little has terrific raw power, solid hands, but he does lack some lateral quickness. With that said, if Little struggles at tackle, expect him to move inside to guard where he should be a perennial pro bowler in his prime.
1.15 San Francisco 49ers OL
OT Jalen Mayfield, Michigan
The San Francisco 49ers had a disappointing 2020 season, ending at 7-9. Unfortunately, injuries derailed a team with Super Bowl aspirations. The 49ers feature few hours but could use some work on the offensive line. Following the surprise retirement of Joe Stanley at the 2020 NFL Draft, the 49ers need to find his replacement. Jalen Mayfield is the man for the job. While former 49ers coach, Jim Harbaugh has yet to defeat Ohio State he sure can develop offensive lineman. Mayfield is the last of the five starters from Michigan’s 2019 offensive line to be draft, but he is likely the best of the bunch.
1.16 Jacksonville Jaguars (from Rams) TE, QB, OT
TE Pat Freiermuth, Penn State
Once again, the Jaguars need to build for the future. Without a clear quarterback available, the Jags should grab the clear number one tight end. Nicknamed “Baby Gronk” Pat Freiermuth is exactly what you want in a modern-day tight end. He can block, he can catch, and he is athletic enough to make a difference in space. At 6’5, 259 pounds Freiermuth is the versatile tight end that the league is desperate for. While is it unlikely for him to become Travis Kelce, George Kittle, or Rob Gronkowski, he just might.
1.17 Denver Broncos OT, QB, DE, MLB
DT Marvin Wilson, Florida State
Despite having an elite pass rush in 2020, the Denver Broncos struggled in the rush defense department. Luckily for them the best defensive tackle in the draft remains available. Marvin Wilson easily separated himself as the best defensive tackle in this class. Wilson can drive with his legs with the best of them forcing the interior offensive lineman onto their heals in both the rush and pass game. Wilson could’ve entered the 2020 draft and been a late first or early second rounder but decided to return to clean up some of his technique. Broncos fans will be ecstatic about a truly elite front seven but will be left wondering is Drew Lock is the answer at quarterback.
1.18 Pittsburgh Steelers QB, OT, DT
QB Jamie Newman, Georgia
Following an 8-8 season, Ben Roethlisberger decided to hang up his cleats. That surprise retirement left the Steelers in a tough situation. They knew that the answer wasn’t Duck Hodges or Mason Rudolph but also didn’t like the options of Jameis Winston or Mitch Trubisky in free agency. Sure, they could trade for a guy like Kirk Cousins, and maybe they will, but the Steelers need to figure out the future. Jamie Newman has similarities to Joe Burrow in the sense that they both transferred into the SEC and both have some mobile characteristics. Newman set the world on fire as a Bulldog but after the SEC season was cancelled after four weeks due to COVID-19 many scouts were left wondering if Newman was the second coming of Cardale Jones or if he had what it takes to become a franchise quarterback, the Pittsburgh Steelers will take that chance.
1.19 Baltimore Ravens WR, LG, DL
WR Jaylen Waddle, Alabama
Oh my, following a disappointing season the Ravens sit with their choice of the non-Ja’Marr Chase receivers. Hollywood Brown is great and so is Mark Andrews, but Lamar simply needs more weapons. Jaylen Waddle has the second most upside of this wideout class. Last season Jerry Jeudy and Harry Ruggs III went in the top 15. Waddle has the speed of Ruggs but the route running and control of Jeudy. Honestly, we likely look at Waddle in a different light as a sure-fire top 10 selection with better quarterback play during the 2020 season. Waddle has all the potential in the world and with Lamar Jackson at quarterback we are about to see a beautiful offense be constructed. Lamar, Hollywood, Dobbins, Andrews, and Waddle for the next 10 years? AFC North, its time to load up on defense.
1.20 Tampa Bay Buccaneers OT, OLB, DE, QB
QB Brock Purdy, Iowa State
How old is Tom Brady now? 45? 50? I heard he applied for social security last week! Seriously though, the Buccaneers have great talent throughout this football team but following a disappointing finish to a 10-6 season they must turn their eyes towards life after Brady. Tom says he wants to play until he’s 50 but that’s simply not realistic. Brock Purdy may be raw, but he has tremendous upside. Purdy has a great arm, shows flashes of good accuracy and placement but he needs to be more consistent. Purdy doesn’t fit many teams but if he can sit a year behind Tom Brady, we could soon be talking about him in the same light as Patrick Mahomes.
1.21 Buffalo Bills OT, OLB, TE
TE Kyle Pitts, Florida
If the Buffalo Bills want Josh Allen to succeed, they must invest more in his weapons. Sure, they got Stefon Diggs last season, but they need to take the second step. Kyle Pitts is likely a better pure receiver than Pat Freiermuth, but he isn’t the same blocker as Pat. Kyle can stretch a field on seam routes and can even be physical in the passing game. Sadly, Pitts is a little one dimensional at this point in his career. If he can clean that up many scouts will be asking how Pitts fell to pick 21.
1.22 New England Patriots QB, RB, WR, DT
WR Devonta Smith, Alabama
The New England Patriots surprised many folks going 11-5 in their first season without Tom Brady. Following the retirement of Julian Edelman, the Patriots must find another weapon for Cam Newton. The Patriots have many great options, but Devonta Smith fits the Patriot way. Smith was a likely first round pick in 2020 but decided to return to school. Smith can shine with the best of them. In a core along with Waddle, Ruggs, and Jeudy its amazing when you can get 5 receiving touchdowns in a game against a SEC opponent but that’s exactly what Smith did in 2019 against Ole Miss. Smith has elite hands and route running but doesn’t have the high end speed of Waddle or Ruggs.
1.23 New Orleans Saints QB, TE, LB
EDGE Quincy Roche, Miami (FL)
The Saints are trying to figure out what to do without Drew Brees, for the moment they intend to plug the hole with veterans. It is a smart decision given that the roster is built to win now. The Saints simply grab the best player on their board in pass rusher Quincy Roche. Roche formed a dynamic duo with Gregory Rousseau for the Hurricanes. In 2019 Roche finished with 19 tackles for loss and 13 sacks in 12 games. A former transfer from Temple, Roche will look to form a strong front 7 with Marcus Davenport, Sheldon Rankin, Demario Davis, and Cameron Jordan
1.24 Green Bay Packers MLB, OL, TE, DE
WR Rondale Moore, Purdue
The Green Bay Packers need to do everything they can to make use of Aaron Rodgers but also prepare for life with Jordan Love. Rondale Moore does exactly that. Devante Adams is a big receiver who will win 50/50 balls at the point of attack. Rondale Moore isn’t that, think Randall Cobb but better, that’s Rondale Moore. In the Big Ten with many high-end corners, Moore finished his freshman season with a stat-line of 114-1258-12, plus a pair of rushing touchdowns. Moore struggled with injuries as a sophomore and skipped his junior season due to COVID-19, but he simply showed enough as a freshman to warrant this selection. Moore will become an elite slot guy… think Julian Edelman but with high end explosiveness.
1.25 New York Giants LB, OL
EDGE Xavier Thomas, Clemson
The New York Giants made a huge leap in 2020, finishing with a 10-6 record. The Giants have two clear needs, offensive line and linebacker. Unfortunately, without great fits available the Giants will grab a pass rusher in Xavier Thomas. Thomas is likely the second-best pass rusher in this class. He is a former top recruit who had 10.5 tackles for loss in a reserve role on a defensive line that featured three (now four) first round picks. The Giants will be happy with this pick!
1.26 Dallas Cowboys EDGE, SS/FS, C
S Andre Cisco, Syracuse
The Cowboys have a solid cornerback room but constantly found themselves getting burnt in the secondary due to their safety core. The Cowboys grab the best safety in the class, Andrew Cisco. Cisco has great field awareness, picking up on the offensive players routes with ease. He also features solid closing speed and very good ball skills. Honestly Cisco likely goes much higher if he didn’t pay for the Orange, but Jerry Jones and company won’t complain!
1.27 Miami Dolphins (from Texans) DL, RB, OT
RB Travis Etienne, Clemson
As I stated earlier the Dolphins have talent throughout their team. Unfortunately, one spot they lack a long-term answer is running back. General Manager Kyle Winn has always been a big proponent of having a legitimate every down back. Etienne is just that. During his freshman season he rushed for 766 yards and 13 touchdowns on only 107 carries. As a sophomore he rushed for over 1,600 yards and 24 touchdowns. As a junior he continued to tear up the defense by rushing for over 1,600 yards once more with 19 scores. Etienne poses everything you can ask for in a back. He had vision, power, and high-end speed. Throw in the fact that he’s more than a capable receiver, Etienne is easily a true top 5 talent in this draft. The Dolphins pair Etienne with Tua and Ja’Marr Chase and will set the tone by having an elite offense for the next 10-15 years.
1.28 Indianapolis Colts LB, QB, CB
CB Paulson Adebo, Stanford
The Indianapolis Colts had their best season in a while with Philip Rivers leading the offense. Unfortunately, GM Chris Ballard didn’t realize that Xavier Rhodes wasn’t the Xavier Rhodes of 2017 anymore and he simply gave up too many big plays in key moments. The Colts should take the best corner remaining in Abedo. Abedo has good length and elite ball skills although he periodically struggles with elite route runners. Abedo had four interceptions each season in 2018 and 2019. If he can replicate that and improve his coverage in the NFL, the Colts will have a very good corner for years to come.
1.29 New York Jets (from Seahawks) RT, OLB, WR
WR Justyn Ross, Clemson
The Jets, like the Bills, must invest in some weaponry for their young signal caller. Sam Darnold and Justyn Ross would make a great pairing. While Ross has some great attributes such as straight-line speed and the ability to get physical in order to win a contested ball, he struggles with his route running a bit in the middle of the field. Ross has many similarities to former Clemson Tiger Tre Higgins who went 33rd to the Bengals last season. Ross will be very good but simply is a little rawer than the other high-end wide receiver prospects.
1.30 Cleveland Browns LB, OL, FS
S Hamsah Nasirildeen, Florida State
The Cleveland Browns have a solid roster and things finally clicked in 2020. They made it to the AFC Championship Game following a 13-3 season before falling to Patrick Mahomes and co. With few worthy linebackers at this selection, the Browns grab Hamsah Nasirildeen who draws some comparisons to former Seminol Derwin James. Like James, Nasirildeen is a carries a big, 6’4 215 pound frame. He is an explosive athele with great range. Not only does he have have great range but he can step inside the box and shut down the run game when needed. The Browns get a safety who will truly help them in all aspects on defense.
1.31 Atlanta Falcons OL, OLB
RB Najee Harris, Alabama
The Falcons surprised many teams in 2020 with their impressive run to the Super Bowl. Clearly Matt Ryan still has something left in the tank. With Todd Gurley continuing to battle knee problems, the Falcons should grab Najee Harris. Harris has it all: power, receiving, and he can bust it long with his explosiveness. He is a true top-tier NFL running back prospect
1.32 Kansas City Chiefs CB, MLB, IOL
C Creed Humphrey, Oklahoma
Following their second consecutive Super Bowl, the Kansas City Chiefs have few holes. With an aging offensive line, it would be wise of them to further invest into Patrick Mahomes and select the best center in the draft. Creed Humphrey is a high-end center prospect who can do it all. He has a mauler mentality in the run game but also possess decent footwork to become an above average pass blocker. Its not sexy but when you’re already winning Super Bowls it isn’t a time to get cute.