AFC Playoff Scenarios, based on CURRENT standings.
Please note, overall, I’m using the most SIMPLISTIC way each team could get in. In some cases, a team could lose a game in a scenario given but still make it.
16. Detroit Lions – Eliminated.
15. New Orleans – Eliminated.
14. Seattle Seahawks – Eliminated.
13. Washington Commanders – Eliminated.
12. Green Bay Packers – Eliminated.
11. Arizona Cardinals – Eliminated.
10. Philadelphia Eagles
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Win out AND Cowboys win week 17 and lose week 18 AND at least 2 of Buccaneers, Falcons, or Giants lose out. (note: this would result in at least a 4 way tie for #7 seed)
9. Dallas Cowboys
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Win out AND 2 of Buccaneers, Falcons, and Giants lose at least 1.
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Win 1 AND 2 of the AND 2 of Buccaneers, Falcons, and Giants lose out (note: this would result in at least 4-way tie for #7 seed)
8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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WIN out
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AND Giants or Falcons lose at least 1.
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AND 9ers lose out.
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Win 1
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AND Giants or Falcons lose out AND Cowboys lose at least 1.
7. Atlanta Falcons
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Win out.
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Win 1 AND Cowboys and Buccaneers lose at least 1.
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Lose out AND Buccaneers lose out and Cowboys lose at least one.
6. New York Giants
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Win out
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Win 1 AND Cowboys lose at least one AND Falcons or Buccaneers lose at least one.
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Lose out AND Buccaneers and Falcons lose out and the Cowboys lose at least one.
5. San Francisco 49ers
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Win out earns division win (#3 seed)
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Win 1
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AND Rams win week 18 earns #5 seed.
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AND Rams lose week 18 earns #3 seed.
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Lose out
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AND 2 of the Falcons, Buccaneers, or Giants lose out AND Cowboys lose at least 1 earns #6 seed.
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AND either the Falcons, Buccaneers, or Giants lose out AND Cowboys lose at least 1 earns at least the #7 seed.
4. Los Angeles Rams
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Win out
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AND 49ers lose at least 1 earns the division.
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AND 49ers win out earns #6 seed.
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Lose out AND Falcons, Giants, or Buccaneers lose at least 1 game earns at least the #7 seed.
3. Minnesota Vikings
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Win out
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AND Bears lose out earns division.
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AND Bears lose out AND Panthers lose AT least 1 earns the #1 seed.
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Win 1 earns the #5 seed.
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Lose out earns just a wildcard seed.
2. Carolina Panthers
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Win out earns #2 seed
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Win 1
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AND Vikings lose at least 1 earns #2 seed.
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AND Vikings win out
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AND 9ers or Rams win out would earn the division and the #3 or #4 seed.
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AND 9ers or Rams lose at least 1 would earn the #3 seed
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Lose out
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AND Vikings lose out
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AND Rams or 49ers lose at least 1 earns #2 seed.
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AND Rams or 49ers earn 11 wins would result in a 3 way tie for #2 seed.
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AND Vikings win at least 1 game
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AND Rams or 49ers lose at least 1 games earns #3 seed.
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AND Rams or 49ers earn 11 wins would results in a tie for the #3 seed.
1. Chicago Bears
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Win at least 1 game earns #1 seed.
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Lose out
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AND Vikings win out earns them the # 5 seed.
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AND Vikings lose at least 1 game earns them the #1 seed.