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RZ Market Watch - Season 62

by Ajschamps | 4 years ago | 0 Comments

RZ Market Watch - Season 62

What’s up Redzone! It’s your favorite retired veteran burning the midnight oil to make a quick dime. As a retired old man, I’ve started to enjoy dabbling in the stock market and was thrilled when RZ opened up their Red Zone Market! I’m going to break down each division, which stocks you should invest in and which stocks I am spending my hard earned money on. Each season, I’ll do a recap and try and decide if I want to buy, sell, or hold the stock. In the RZ Stock Market world, prices only adjust in the offseason and can go up or down based on certain criteria (I’ll get into that a bit later). 

 

For the first season, these projected records are straight from an independent source (Jim) and I had no input on the records. Based on the record, a stock price was assigned to each team. I have decided to invest $2,500 in the RZ Market. My goal is to achieve a 8% return on investment each season. For full transparency, the Seattle Seahawks stock is currently frozen until league commissioners can address the current staffing issues. Below are the opening prices for each team in this inaugural RZ Market. 

 

Team

Projected Record

Stock Price

Baltimore Ravens

14-2

$100.00

Indianapolis Colts

14-2

$100.00

Los Angeles Chargers

13-3

$91.00

Denver Broncos

13-3

$91.00

Tennessee Titans

13-3

$91.00

Philadelphia Eagles

13-3

$91.00

Washington Football Team

13-3

$91.00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

13-3

$91.00

Green Bay Packers

13-3

$91.00

Buffalo Bills

12-4

$84.00

Kansas City Chiefs

11-5

$77.00

San Francisco 49ers

11-5

$77.00

Arizona Cardinals

11-5

$77.00

Los Angeles Rams

10-6

$70.00

Minnesota Vikings

10-6

$70.00

Atlanta Falcons

10-6

$70.00

New York Jets

7-9

$49.00

New York Giants

6-10

$42.00

Houston Texans

6-10

$42.00

Cleveland Browns

6-10

$42.00

Carolina Panthers

5-11

$35.00

Seattle Seahawks (*)

5-11

$35.00

Jacksonville Jaguars

4-12

$28.00

Cincinnati Bengals

4-12

$28.00

Oakland Raiders

4-12

$28.00

Miami Dolphins

3-13

$21.00

New England Patriots

3-13

$21.00

New Orleans Saints

3-13

$21.00

Detroit Lions

2-14

$14.00

Dallas Cowboys

2-14

$14.00

Pittsburgh Steelers

2-14

$14.00

Chicago Bears

1-15

$7.00


 

Now I’m sure you are curious, how can stock prices go up and down? There are a couple different measures that RZ has put into place. After each season, I will review my profile and update the stock prices for the next year while highlighting my YTD profits. 

 

1) Achieve a better or worse record than what was predicted (or previous year record). The following is the direct impact the record will have on a team’s stock price.  
 

  1. Finish 5 or more wins above the projected team total (or previous year record) = 25% Value Increase

  2. Finish 4 wins above the projected team total (or previous year record) = 20% Value Increase

  3. Finish 3 wins above the projected team total (or previous year record) = 15% Value Increase

  4. Finish 2 wins above the projected team total (or previous year record) = 10% Value Increase

  5. Finish 1 win above the projected team total (or previous year record) = 5% Value Increase

  6. Finish at the projected team total (or previous year record) = 3% Value Increase

  7. Finish 1 win below the projected team total (or previous year record) = 5% Value Decrease

  8. Finish 2 wins below the projected team total (or previous year record) = 10% Value Decrease

  9. Finish 3 wins below the projected team total (or previous year record) = 15% Value Decrease

  10. Finish 4 wins below the projected team total (or previous year record) = 20% Value Decrease

  11. Finish 5 or more wins below the projected team total (or previous year record) = 25% Value Increase
     

2) Playoff Success Bonuses

  1. Win the Superbowl = 5% Value Increase

  2. Win 1 or more Playoff Games = 3% Value Increase

  3. Make the Playoffs = 1% Value Increase 
     

AFC North:
 

Baltimore Ravens (Blueprint)

14-2

$100.00

Cleveland Browns (Prewitt)

6-10

$42.00

Cincinnati Bengals (Andrew)

4-12

$28.00

Pittsburgh Steelers (King John)

2-14

$14.00


Stock Purchases: Nada
 

I consider this division to be my “Penny Stock” Division and to be completely honest, I’m not too excited about investing in any of these teams. Like any penny stock, they can make you a lot of money quickly, but what goes up must come down. I don’t trust any of these users enough to put in my portfolio. Yeah, Blueprint has a stacked team but when's the last time you saw Blueprint make a deep run in the playoffs? Yeah, I’m told King Johns is going to be the real deal but we all know how hard it is to adjust to RZ as a newbie. Blueprint should have a free 5-6 wins every season, but I’m not sure where he’s getting the other 8-9 wins from. I’m staying away until these prices dip. I expect the Ravens to drop to around $75-80 next year and may consider investing at that point. 
 

AFC East:
 

Buffalo Bills (JP)

12-4

$84.00

New York Jets (Moji)

7-9

$49.00

Miami Dolphins (Black Magic)

3-13

$21.00

New England Patriots (Glenn)

3-13

$21.00


 

Stock Purchases:

New York Jets - 5 Shares @ $49/each = $245.00

Miami Dolphins - 15 Shares @ $21/each = $315.00 
 

With these investments, I'm investing in the “CEO”, not the company. You’re telling me I can get stock in a team ran by a former Super Bowl champ for pennies on the dollar? Consider it sold. Look, I know this team is arguably the worst team in the league. They are awful, pathetic, and should be demoted to the XFL. But if you’re telling me Moj ain’t gonna win 10+ games each year and be in the playoffs consistently, I can’t help you. 
 

Secondly, the blatant disrespect for Black Magic has got to end. 3 Wins?!? He’s got two guaranteed against Glenn each season. I love the value here and expect the Dolphins to be in the 6 win range next season. Man, I love free money! 
 

AFC West:
 

Los Angeles Chargers (IJ)

13-3

$91.00

Denver Broncos (Astin)

13-3

$91.00

Kansas City Chiefs (Tspittah)

11-5

$77.00

Oakland Raiders (Tiko)

4-12

$28.00


 

Stock Purchases:

Denver Broncos - 5 Shares @ $91/each = $455.00
 

It wouldn’t be a portfolio without investing in some of your favorite brands. The Denver Broncos will get a guaranteed 4% playoff boost each season, the risk is they have a down year and take a slight regular season loss. I’m willing to take a gamble that they will atleast get their 13 wins with the potential each season of a Super Bowl victory. 
 

I think the Oakland Raiders are a little undervalued here but in this division, it’s going to be really tough for Tiko to make his mark. I think he’ll constantly be competing for 3rd place and more times than not (or every time), he’ll finish in 4th. As a fan, I can’t find myself investing in the Chiefs but that roster is stacked, if Tspittah doesn’t win the division in year one, he’s never going to win it. 
 

AFC South:
 

Indianapolis Colts (Jake)

14-2

$100.00

Tennessee Titans (Roc)

13-3

$91.00

Houston Texans (Metal)

6-10

$42.00

Jacksonville Jaguars (Pat)

4-12

$28.00


 

Stock Purchases: Nada
 

This division was really tough to evaluate. I absolutely love Jake with the Colts but at $100/share?! There’s little to no return value. I’ll hope for a down year in Season 62 and invest next season. I went back and forth on the Texans and Jaguars. Both owners have shown potential in the past but this is a super tough division. Will the Jaguars win a division game this year? Is Metal invested with the Texans or does the magic only occur when he’s with the Eagles? 
 

I’m going to wait and see on this division, I’m not ready to put my money on the line at this point. Hopefully the market corrects itself and I can find some value. There are a lot of users I like in this division, but the pricing is just not where I want it. Pass for now. 
 

NFC North:
 

Green Bay Packers (Lefty)

13-3

$91.00

Minnesota Vikings (Eikim)

10-6

$70.00

Detroit Lions (RFox)

2-14

$14.00

Chicago Bears (Beat)

1-15

$7.00


 

Stock Purchases:

Green Bay Packers - 5 Shares @ $91/each = $455.00
 

When I’m investing in the real world, I have one rule. Don’t invest in a company I don’t understand or don’t know anything about. I have no clue who Rfox is. He hasn’t posted in the chat since May so I hope he’s doing alright, but I’m not putting a dime of my money in his corner. 
 

Secondly, I honestly had no clue Beat was still in the league. There’s a lot of variables in this division such as what happens if RFox gets fired? Will Beat hang ‘em up like his buddy Mans? I don’t like the idea of unknowns and potential new hires coming into the division but I’m still going to put some money on the Packers. I don’t see the Vikings competing in this division so Packers should make the playoffs each year. I trust in the team building and coaching of this franchise and fully anticipate to be in the green profit next offseason. 
 

NFC East:
 

Philadelphia Eagles (Adel)

13-3

$91.00

Washington Football (Weed)

13-3

$91.00

New York Giants (Beech)

6-10

$42.00

Dallas Cowboys (WG)

2-14

$14.00


 

Stock Purchases:

Dallas Cowboys - 20 Shares @ $14/each = $280.00
 

Was this a typo? I get the Dallas Cowboys are in a tough division but two wins?! This team is too stacked to only get two wins and if that actually happens, WG needs to quit the league. He’s shown some promise last year and I can’t imagine this team only winning two games. Maybe he ran over Jim’s dog or cut him off on the way to work, but two wins is downright disrespectful. I’ll take the value and hope WG can find himself into a 6-10 or 7-9 season. 
 

I want to invest in Weed and Beech here but that Redskins team is awful.I fully expect that stock price to dip next season. As far as the Giants, I'm not really sure what to expect from this team. Beech will be the first to let you know he won a Super Bowl, but I don’t see Tom Brady anywhere on this roster. Saquan had some injury concerns last cycle and I’m not ready to invest my money on a running back who can’t stay healthy.  
 

NFC West:
 

San Francisco 49ers (Sin)

11-5

$77.00

Arizona Cardinals (Ramesu)

11-5

$77.00

Los Angeles Rams (Jim)

10-6

$70.00

Seattle Seahawks (FROZEN)

5-11

$35.00


 

Stock Purchases:

Arizona Cardinals - 5 Shares @ $77/each = $385.00
 

There’s another big unknown in this division. Sin has been AWOL for a month. Will he be back before the season starts? I'm sure. Do I want to invest money in a coach who hasn’t been around? Not at this moment. I’m putting my money on Ramesu. He’s always a top user in the league and seems to have put a big investment of time into his team this year. I love Jim, but he’s not winning 10 games with the Rams, even with an OP Aaron Donald. It will be interesting who takes over the Seahawks as that could throw a curve in my investment. 
 

If Sin invests the time, that 49ers roster is downright scary and could be worthy of an investment but the lack of activity has scared me off (especially in a year where league commissioners seem to be harping on activity). 
 

NFC South:
 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Tauph)

13-3

$91.00

Atlanta Falcons (Kelly)

10-6

$70.00

Carolina Panthers (Malik)

5-11

$35.00

New Orleans Saints (Spencer)

3-13

$21.00


 

Stock Purchases:

Carolina Panthers - 5 Shares @ $35/each = $175.00
 

In my opinion, there’s a lot of good value in this division. I could make a case for the Falcons, Panthers, and the Saints. Unfortunately, on a limited budget, I can’t invest in all three. The Bucs will be decent in year one but what’s the answer when Tom Brady steps down? I don’t trust Tauph much as a user in big games so I’m shying away from this team. I see them more as a 10-11 win team. 
 

That brings me to Kelly. Kelly was once a top 5 user in the league, will he give the same investment of time? I really want to put money on this man but there is a level of unknown. My assumption is he hasn’t played a game of Madden since he left which makes it tough to invest at this point. I see him winning this division more times than not, however, once he gets his feet wet.
 

That leaves me to Malik and Spencer. The Saints are stacked and Spencer seems to be showing more effort and attention to the league but will that turn into success on the field? I hope so because I really do love that kid. In the end, I’m going to put my money on Malik and the Carolina Panthers. CMAC is a human cheat code and will make up for their lack of QB options. I see this team being in the 7 win territory which will give me a slight boosted ROI. 
 

Aaron’s RZ Stock Portfolio

Stock

Shares

Investment

New York Jets (NYJ)

5 Shares @ $49/each

$245.00

Miami Dolphins (MIA)

15 Shares @ $21/each

$315.00

Denver Broncos (DEN)

5 Shares @ $91/each

$455.00

Green Bay Packers (GB)

5 Shares @ $91/each

$455.00

Dallas Cowboys (DAL)

20 Shares @ $14/each

$280.00

Arizona Cardinals (ARI)

5 Shares @ $77/each

$385.00

Carolina Panthers (CAR)

5 Shares @ $35/each

$175.00

Cash

$190.00

TOTAL

$2,500.00